BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Afton East Union

Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: (9-5) Overall: (16-6) Overall Strength =   68.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/06/2002 Home    W *  77.87  55   53   2A   20 (17- 6) Nodaway Valley          9.70     -7.70                      
  2 12/10/2002 Away    W *  59.56  53   49   2A  101 ( 8-14) Mount Ayr              -8.62     12.62                      
  3 12/17/2002 Home    L *  71.38  57   63   2A   17 (20- 2) Bedford                 3.21     -9.21                      
  4 12/20/2002 Away    W *  76.16  58   46   2A   64 (17- 7) Corydon Wayne           7.98      4.02                      
  5 01/03/2003 Away    L *  62.12  44   61   2A   20 (17- 6) Nodaway Valley         -6.06    -10.94                      
  6 01/07/2003 Away    W    61.85  44   38   1A   82 (15- 6) Earlham                -6.32     12.32                      
  7 01/10/2003 Home    L *  55.21  54   62   2A   57 (15- 8) Corning               -12.96      4.96                      
  8 01/11/2003 Away    W    72.89  85   31   2A  130 ( 1-16) Clarinda Academy        4.71 *   49.29                      
  9 01/16/2003 Away    W    58.53  63   29   1A  146 ( 3-19) Murray                 -9.65 *   43.65                      
 10 01/17/2003 Home    W *  79.98  62   37   1A   70 (13- 9) Souteast Warren        11.81     13.19                      
 11 01/21/2003 Home    W *  74.31  53   31   2A  101 ( 8-14) Mount Ayr               6.14     15.86                      
 12 01/24/2003 Away    L *  44.53  51   65   2A   86 (11-11) Pleasantville         -23.64      9.64                      
 13 01/31/2003 Away    W *  80.50  63   35   1A   91 (10-11) Martensdale M-SM       12.33     15.67                      
 14 02/04/2003 Away    W *  85.63  74   69   2A   17 (20- 2) Bedford                17.45    -12.45                      
 15 02/06/2003 Unknown W *  75.83  63   20   1A  139 ( 4-17) Lenox                   7.66 *   35.34                      
 16 02/07/2003 Home    W *  80.02  93   54   2A  124 ( 4-16) Truro Interstate 35    11.84     27.16                      
 17 02/11/2003 Away    L *  51.46  56   71   2A   57 (15- 8) Corning               -16.72      1.72                      
 18 02/21/2003 Unknown W    79.61  87   51   1A  122 ( 9-13) Orient-Macksburg       11.44     24.56                      
 19 02/26/2003 Home    W    60.42  71   49   1A  124 ( 6-15) Villisca               -7.76 *   29.76                      
 20 03/03/2003 Home    W    63.12  74   49   1A  130 (12- 7) Lamoni                 -5.05 *   30.05                      
 21 03/06/2003 Neutral W    68.40  60   56   1A   41 (19- 5) Guthrie Center          0.23      3.77                      
 22 03/08/2003 Neutral L    60.47  52   61   1A   21 (16- 8) Hubbard-Radcliffe      -7.71     -1.29                      
      Averages              68.17  62.4 49.1

Best game:   85.63 = 5 point win over Bedford
Worst game:  44.53 = 14 point loss to Pleasantville
Team stdev:  11.02